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2008: Avastu's verdict on Virtualization

No, I don't intend to write a prediction now. I'll just tell you her outright, we may end up writing a predictive paper sometime later at our site.

  1. Application support hell is coming: No I won't do the cartoon again. You can see it here. With multiple vendors fighting for the hypervisor and supporting their own applications like that of Oracle and Microsoft. They will not cerPublish Posttify VMware or Citrix, not in the near-term.
  2. (I/O) Performance (and support) hell is coming: Try putting your mission critical applications on any hypervisor and we want to see if it all will go well.
  3. Time to dig deep within yourselves: Your apps need support from your internal staff, you will be faced with a serious challenge to "in-house train" the staff and/or see if it aligns with your business strategy or totally move it out!
  4. Hypervisor fight will intensify: VMware clearly has a big lead today, but this will change with time. I don't see 2008 to be the turn of tables, yet, but Microsoft's move will be aggressive, why? Well, some analysts have mentioned that "Microsoft is scared to death of VMware", and you know what happens when you are standing against someone who sees you as an immediate threat. The game-changing will come with the increasing irrelevance of hypervisor with the changing game. Why Microsoft will have to take this seriously is because it may directly affect its flagship products and thus, its future.
  5. Desktop Virtualization will start (no matter what you say): You cannot ignore the enormous savings that the "undocumented" piece of your enterprise infrastructure has to offer. If people are not "excited"about virtualizing or even completely eliminating those fat PCs, it is just because they have not really seen any competitive or innovative solution that will totally shine on your TCO. This is an e-normous opportunity. Expect an Avastu Research paper on desktop virtualization coming soon on our site!
  6. Security will start, but slowly: People have always had the tendency to ignore it. Security may also soon be automated with virtual appliances going for SMotion kind of technology. I will talk a bit about it during my strategy session in Belgium on the 22-23rd Jan this year.
  7. Storage Virtualization: This too will be soon pushed out as you go back to your core business, how different vendors do it, will not be your concern. what you will se is that a lot of intelligence will be built in the data centers that will host your enterprise. There will be special storage requirements for special, read demanding applications like clustered applications like Exchange Clusters, Oracle RAC etc.
  8. High Availability of Data Center Sets: firms like Marathon Technologies, Neverfail and others will come with their own products and special roles within those data centers for such applications or even whole data centers.
  9. DRP and SaaS backups: We have just written a research paper for a client (we will disclose the name soon in a few days) and there we intend to make clear that the need to completely move the DRP and backups from your plate is by, well, moving it out of your data center! Let someone else do it. If DRP and backup was your core business, you'd be doing it!
  10. Complementer Data Center plug-in Chase: While little start-ups will want to promote their value-add individually to customers and VCs, budget constraints will force VCs and investors to invest more into data centers than going ga-ga over every little add-on. This could be ILM, Provisioning, Release Management, ITIL-enhancers, ITSM, Chargeback etc
We are moving strongly into a fast closing in blackhole phase. Globalization and consolidation are interconnected. The more we get horizontal with our activities, the more we will choose to move to the core, the grid. We have long wasted our time fighting it out individually, we have to do it together now. The differentiated strategy is to rise up the stack collectively.

P.S: I think we will add more to our list but we will have to break them down in logical components such as BPM, etc. You should find it in our paper soon.


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